Foresight by Lightning Rod
Foresight is an API that returns calibrated probabilities for prediction questions, enabling developers and organizations to make informed decisions based on probabili…
Our verdict
Who should look elsewhere
Requires a paid API key; no free tier available for heavy usage
Pros
- +Higher forecasting accuracy than general-purpose LLMs on live benchmarks
- +Lower inference cost per 1M output tokens compared to frontier models
- +Drop-in replacement for OpenAI API, enabling easy adoption in existing codebases
Cons
- −Requires a paid API key; no free tier available for heavy usage
- −Analytics
Key features
- ✓Calibrated probability outputs for user-defined questions
- ✓OpenAI-compatible API for seamless integration
- ✓Automatic research context gathering to inform predictions
- ✓Configurable answer types (e.g.
- ✓auto
- ✓binary
- ✓multiple choice)
- ✓Future-as-Label training method using real-world outcomes as training signal
- ✓Supported use cases include prediction market bots
- ✓risk forecasting
Pricing
| Plan | Price | Billing | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foresight v4 (Low) | $3 | month | Calibrated probabilities; Cheaper inference; Learn from real-world outcomes |
| Foresight v4 (Full) | $10 | month | Calibrated probabilities; Cheaper inference; Learn from real-world outcomes |
| Foresight v3 | $30 | month | Calibrated probabilities; Cheaper inference; Learn from real-world outcomes |
| Foresight Frontier models | $50 | month | Calibrated probabilities; Cheaper inference; Learn from real-world outcomes |
| Foresight | $6 | month | Calibrated probabilities; Cheaper inference; Learn from real-world outcomes |
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